Match stats

Logo Portugal Logo Germany
55 Ball possession (%) 45
9 Goal attempts 17
5 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked shots 4

Portugal vs Germany: prediction & betting odds 4 June 2025

The Nations League 2024/25 semifinal between Germany and Portugal will take place on June 4 at the Allianz Arena in Munich. Germany vs. Portugal: prediction and betting odds, statistics.

Germany

Germany began their first playoff appearance in the Nations League with a clash against Italy. After defeating their opponents 2-1 away, Julian Nagelsmann's team scored three goals in the first half of the return leg but eventually drew 3-3. Thus, Germany remains unbeaten in this tournament, with 5 wins and 3 draws. Their goal-scoring streak in the Nations League now stands at 9 matches. Additionally, the team leads the 2024/25 Nations League in scoring with 23 goals.

  • Germany has scored at least twice in 7 of their last 9 matches in this tournament.
  • On home soil, the team has avoided defeat in 11 of their last 12 Nations League matches (5 wins, 6 draws).
  • In 6 of their last 8 home games in the Nations League, Germany has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Germany (3-5-2)

Marc-André ter Stegen – Waldemar Anton, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Jonathan Tah – Joshua Kimmich, Serge Gnabry, Florian Wirtz, Pascal Groß, Leon Goretzka – Leroy Sané, Nick Woltemade.

Due to injuries, defenders Nico Schlotterbeck, Antonio Rüdiger, and midfielder Jamal Musiala are not included in the squad, while forward Kai Havertz is working on his fitness. However, goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen has been called up after recovering from a serious injury. Additionally, Angelo Stiller, Jan Bisseck, and Nadiem Amiri have been replaced by Thilo Kehrer in the squad.

Portugal

Roberto Martinez's team faced a tougher challenge in the previous stage of the tournament than Germany. In Denmark, Portugal lost 0-1, but in the return leg, they managed to secure the necessary advantage (3-2, extra time 2-0). Notably, the defeat to the Scandinavians is Portugal's only loss in the 2024/25 Nations League (5 wins and 2 draws in regular time), although they conceded in 7 matches during this period. Additionally, the team has reached the Nations League semifinals for the first time since the 2018/19 season, when they won the tournament.

  • Both teams scored in 6 of Portugal's last 8 Nations League matches.
  • Away from home, the team has not won in 5 of their last 7 Nations League matches (3 draws, 2 losses).
  • In 7 of their last 7 away games in this tournament, Portugal has not conceded more than one goal.

Predicted lineup for Portugal (3-4-3)

Diogo Costa – Nuno Mendes, Ruben Dias, Diogo Dalot – Vitinha, João Neves, Bruno Fernandes, João Felix – Rafael Leão, Cristiano Ronaldo, Pedro Neto.

Defenders Tomas Araujo and João Cancelo are unavailable due to injuries.

Referee

Slavko Vincic (Slovenia)

Matches – 14 (International matches, 2024/25);

Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 53;

Average yellow cards per match – 3.8;

Red cards shown – 0;

Average fouls per match – 25;

Penalties – 14%.

Match Prediction: Germany vs. Portugal

The current Nations League final is being held in Germany, and this factor is likely to benefit Julian Nagelsmann's team. The Germans have won three and drawn one of their home matches in the current tournament. Moreover, they have only suffered one home defeat in the Nations League. It's worth noting the team's scoring prowess: a total of 19 goals were scored in the aforementioned four matches.

Portugal also performs well on home soil, but their results on the road are less impressive. In the last seven away Nations League matches, the team has only two victories (3 draws, 2 losses). Furthermore, Roberto Martinez's side lacks defensive solidity in the current tournament, conceding in 7 out of 8 matches.

Germany has a good chance to capitalize on their home advantage and once again delight their fans with a high-scoring performance. My prediction: Germany will not lose and Total over 1.5 goals

Betting tips 4 June 2025

The first UEFA Nations League finalist will be decided at the Allianz Arena, where Germany take on Portugal in a high-stakes semi-final clash. The same ground witnessed Paris Saint-Germain’s historic Champions League triumph just days ago – and several of the French club's stars will now be in action for the Portuguese national team.

Germany come into the match shorthanded. Key attacking figures Jamal Musiala and Kai Havertz remain sidelined with long-term injuries, and the defensive line has taken further hits with both Nico Schlotterbeck and Antonio Rüdiger ruled out. Barcelona keeper Marc-André ter Stegen has returned from a serious knee injury and made the squad, but it’s unclear whether he will start. Centre-back Yann Aurel Bisseck, who made his debut in the second leg of the quarter-final against Italy, was not included.

Portugal boss Roberto Martínez may have a smaller talent pool than his German counterpart, but he boasts three freshly crowned Champions League winners in his squad — Nuno Mendes, João Neves, and Vitinha Machado. All three played crucial roles in Paris Saint-Germain’s final victory, with Vitinha particularly impressive, delivering a brilliant assist for Désiré Doué’s goal. They’re expected to start, while Nuno Tavares was dropped, leaving Nuno Mendes unchallenged at left-back.

The midfield battle is set to be pivotal, and on paper Portugal match up well against a depleted German side. Their last head-to-head was a thrilling 4:2 win for Germany at Euro 2020, but this encounter feels far more even, especially given the absences in the German camp. What we can expect with confidence is goals. Both teams delivered high-scoring ties in the quarter-finals — Germany edged Italy (2:1) before a thrilling 3:3 draw, while Portugal lost the first leg (0:1) before thumping Denmark (5:2) in the return.

Betting prediction
Total Over 2.5
Cf
Odds
3/4
Bet now

Portugal vs Germany Odds

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Nations League: previous matches in the tournament

Portugal
23.03.25
Portugal
Denmark
3
:
2
2
:
0
OT
W
20.03.25
Denmark
Portugal
L
18.11.24
Croatia
Portugal
D
15.11.24
Portugal
Poland
W
15.10.24
Scotland
Portugal
D
12.10.24
Poland
Portugal
W
08.09.24
Portugal
Scotland
W
05.09.24
Portugal
Croatia
W
More matches
Germany
23.03.25
Germany
Italy
D
20.03.25
Italy
Germany
W
19.11.24
Hungary
Germany
D
16.11.24
Germany
Bosnia and Herzegovina
W
14.10.24
Germany
Netherlands
W
11.10.24
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Germany
W
10.09.24
Netherlands
Germany
D
07.09.24
Germany
Hungary
W
More matches

H2H: Portugal — Germany

UEFA Euro 2020 qualifying 2020
19.06.21
Portugal
Germany
World Cup 2014
16.06.14
Germany
Portugal
4
:
0
Euro 2012
09.06.12
Germany
Portugal
1
:
0
Euro 2008
19.06.08
Portugal
Germany
2
:
3
World Cup 2006
08.07.06
Germany
Portugal
3
:
1
Euro 2000
20.06.00
Portugal
Germany
3
:
0

Group stage

UEFA Nations League A: Group 3
Team
Played
Matches played
W
D
L
Goals
Goals
Points
Points
1
Germany
  1:0 5:0 7:0 6 4 2 0
18:4
14
2
Netherlands
2:2   4:0 5:2 6 2 3 1
13:7
9
3
Hungary
1:1 1:1   0:0 6 1 3 2
4:11
6
4
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1:2 1:1 0:2   6 0 2 4
4:17
2

Team lineups

Portugal

Julian Nagelsmann
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Marc-André ter Stegen
gk. 0 0
Jonathan Tah
df. 0 0
Maximilian Mittelstadt
df. 0 0
Robin Koch
df. 0 0
Waldemar Anton
df. 0 0
Aleksandar Pavlović
mf. 0 0
Florian Richard Wirtz
mf. 0 0
Joshua Kimmich
mf. 0 0
Leon Goretzka
mf. 0 0
Leroy Sané
fw. 0 0
Nick Woltemade
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
Alexander Nubel
gk. 0 0
Oliver Baumann
gk. 0 0
David Raum
df. 0 0
Robin Gosens
df. 0 0
Thilo Kehrer
df. 0 0
Felix Kalu Nmecha
mf. 0 0
Pascal Groß
mf. 0 0
Robert Andrich
mf. 0 0
Tom Bischof
mf. 0 0
Deniz Undav
fw. 0 0
Karim-David Adeyemi
fw. 0 0
Niclas Füllkrug
fw. 0 0
Serge Gnabry
fw. 0 0
Germany

Roberto Martínez Montoliú
coach
Player Matches Goals
Line-up
Diogo Costa
gk. 0 0
Gonçalo Bernardo Inácio
df. 0 0
Nuno Alexandre Tavares Mendes
df. 0 0
Rúben Dias
df. 0 0
Bernardo Silva
mf. 0 0
Bruno Fernandes
mf. 0 0
João Pedro Gonçalves Neves
mf. 0 0
Rúben Neves
mf. 0 0
Cristiano Ronaldo
fw. 0 0
Pedro Neto
fw. 0 0
Trincão
fw. 0 0
Substitutes
José Sá
gk. 0 0
Rui Silva
gk. 0 0
António João Pereira de Albuquerque Tavares da Silva
df. 0 0
Diogo Dalot
df. 0 0
Nélson Semedo
df. 0 0
João Maria Lobo Alves Palhares Costa Palhinha Gonçalves
mf. 0 0
Pedro António Pereira Gonçalves
mf. 0 0
Renato Palma Veiga
mf. 0 0
Rodrigo Mora de Carvalho
mf. 0 0
Vítor Machado Ferreira
mf. 0 0
Diogo Jota
fw. 0 0
Francisco Fernandes da Conceição
fw. 0 0
Gonçalo Matias Ramos
fw. 0 0
João Félix
fw. 0 0
Rafael Leão
fw. 0 0
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